sentix Survey results (16-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 23 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Historical weakness in underlying equity confidence

In the past week, the remarkable behaviour in the Strategic Bias continues. While the prices of stocks radiate supposed stability, the basic confidence of professionals in particular in tech stocks plummets in a remarkable way. In 4 weeks, the index loses 26 percentage points. This has happened only twice before: in May 2001 and at the end of 2002. The statistical omens for equities are thus unfavourable.

Further results

• Bonds: Confidence still on the rise
• Precious metals: Safe haven
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (15-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 16 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Accumulated Vola Signals

Interest rate futures were again under pressure last week. But investors are not very impressed by this. The bias for the Bund is rising to the next cycle high - after all, the highest level since November 2008. Conversely, it is the stock markets whose bias is weak and weakening. Gold is not likely to continue positively until the summer, while the crypto markets could unleash their potential earlier.

Further results

• Bonds: Willingness to buy continues to increase
• Gold: Set for glossy period in the summer
• sentix sector sentiment

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Better but still not good

Written by Manfred Hübner | 11 April 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The Eurozone economy continues to recover at the beginning of April. The major upheavals feared as a result of the gas and electricity price crisis in Europe have failed to materialise this winter. The situation assessment of the 1,300 investors surveyed by sentix reflects this with the sixth consecutive increase in the situation values for the Eurozone. The fact that this is not an all-clear signal becomes clear when looking at the expected values. They remain negative. In Eastern Europe, a friendlier picture is painted, with an increase in both components. For the USA, we measure a deterioration of the situation and expectations, contrary to the trend. This should not go unnoticed!

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sentix Survey results (14-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Easter Edition

We wish all sentix participants a happy and blessed Easter. Due to the holiday there will be a short commentary this week.

Further results

• Equities: A rotten egg
• Bonds: Colorful eggs
• Gold mining stocks: Shiny eggs
• sentix economic index: Tuesday, 11th April 2023 at 10.30 AM CEST

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sentix Survey results (13-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 02 April 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

A drumbeat in sentiment

Whereas the previous week we noted an astonishing lack of emotion among investors, this week we have to report a real drumbeat in sentiment. The sentiment data are jumping sharply upwards, the bulls have fully awakened and are celebrating the markets. Short term. In the medium term, however, basic confidence is falling. A dangerous development. The data are more unfavourable for equities than they have been for a long time. Portfolios, on the other hand, have more risk than at any time in months.

Further results

• Equities: But basic confidence is falling
• Bonds: Positive data!
• Gold: Stable

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)